Geoff,
I think most of your readers understand that every business is unique and therefore requires varying valuation techniques. However, I think that we could benefit from some advice from you on how to recognize what techniques are appropriate for which general type of business��For example, net-nets are easy ��in its most simplified form you could ask yourself, ��re the current assets (or some discounted version of them) greater than the total liabilities?��If the answer is yes, you know this is a net-net and should be valued as such.
But what questions would you ask to realize that a certain company is best valued on a price/book value? Maybe something like, ��oes the company have a strong intangible brands?��would clue you in that book value is not the right way to look at it? Or, ��oes the current book value represent reality?��might help you with asset-heavy companies like railroads where P/B might be misleading? Or why would you decide that book value is the most appropriate metric?
Hot Recreation Stocks To Watch For 2015: Arch Coal Inc. (ACI)
Arch Coal, Inc. produces and sells thermal and metallurgical coal from surface and underground mines located in the United States. As of December 31, 2013, it operated or contracted out the operation of 22 mines, and owned or controlled approximately 5.3 billion tons of proven and probable recoverable reserves. The company also owned or controlled primarily through long-term leases approximately 32,135 acres of coal land in Ohio; 22,417 acres of coal land in Maryland; 46,532 acres of coal land in Virginia; 425,038 acres of coal land in West Virginia; 107,668 acres of coal land in Wyoming; 267,024 acres of coal land in Illinois; 19,428 acres of coal land in Montana; 21,802 acres of coal land in New Mexico; and 20,166 acres of coal land in Colorado, as well as coal land in Kentucky. In addition, it owned or controlled through long-term leases smaller parcels of property in Alabama, Indiana, Washington, Arkansas, California, Utah, and Texas. The company sells coal to power pl ants, steel mills, and industrial facilities. Arch Coal, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Ben Levisohn]
Avoid companies with weaker balance sheets, including Sell-rated [Arch Coal (ACI)].
Peabody has gained 3.7% to $20.81, Walter has risen 7% to $18.57, Alpha Natural has advanced 4.3% to $7.99, SunCoke is up 3.3% at $21.24, and even Arch Coal is surging: It’s gained 6.4% to $4.48.
- [By Aimee Duffy]
Dollars for bills
Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU ) ��$5.5 million CONSOL Energy (NYSE: CNX ) ��$3.9 million Alpha Natural Resources (NYSE: ANR ) ��$2.6 million Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI ) ��$1.8 million Patriot Coal (NASDAQOTH: PCXCQ ) ��$1.1 million�
For the full-year 2012, the coal lobby had these big spenders to thank:Compared to the lobbying dollars its fossil fuel cousin big oil is spending, these numbers aren't that high. Given that the industry is in dire straits ��Patriot Coal has already gone bankrupt ��one would almost expect the numbers to be higher. But perhaps without these lobbying efforts, things would be far worse for coal. The coal lobby has risen steadily after a big uptick between 2004 and 2005, so let's see what issues are garnering the most cash these days.
- [By Sean Williams]
This week's winner
Topping the list this week was the portfolios worst performer up until now, Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI ) , which logged a 6.2% gain despite continued negativity surrounding coal. One factor still working in coal's favor is that it still accounts for better than 40% of all electricity generation in the U.S. It isn't a fuel source that's going to disappear overnight no matter how popular alternative energy is becoming. As long as Arch continues to focus on improving its exports business, I feel it has the tools necessary to cut costs and wait for prices to improve.
Top 5 Railroad Stocks To Own For 2014: Hancock Holding Company(HBHC)
Hancock Holding Company, a financial holding company, provides various banking and financial services in south Mississippi, Louisiana, South Alabama, and Florida. The company accepts various deposit products that include non-interest bearing demand deposits, NOW account deposits, money market deposits, savings deposits, and time deposits. Its loan portfolio comprises provision of commercial, consumer, commercial leasing, and real estate loans to consumers and small and middle market businesses. Hancock also offers various trust services that include operating as an executor, administrator, or guardian in administering estates; provision of investment custodial services for individuals, businesses, and charitable and religious organizations, as well as investment management services on an agency basis; and trustee services for pension plans, profit sharing plans, corporate and municipal bond issues, living trusts, life insurance trusts, and various other types of trusts cre ated for individuals, businesses, and charitable and religious organizations. In addition, it provides consumer financing services; owns, manages, and maintains real property; offers general insurance agency services; holds investment securities; markets credit life insurance; and engages in discount investment brokerage services, as well as owns approximately 3,700 acres of timber land in Hancock County, Mississippi. The company operates 182 banking and financial services offices and 161 automated teller machines. Hancock Holding Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Gulfport, Mississippi.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Eric Volkman]
Hancock Holding (NASDAQ: HBHC ) is resolutely sticking to its longtime dividend policy. Matching the same common stock payout it's distributed since September 2006, the financial services concern has declared a distribution of $0.24 per share. This is to be paid on September 16 to shareholders of record as of September 5.
- [By Dividends4Life]
Fair Value: In calculating fair value, I consider the NPV MMA Differential Fair Value along with these four calculations of fair value, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
1. Avg. High Yield Price
2. 20-Year DCF Price
3. Avg. P/E Price
4. Graham Number
CTBI is trading at a premium to all four valuations above. The stock is trading at a 53.5% premium to its calculated fair value of $29.43. CTBI did not earn any Stars in this section.
Dividend Analytical Data: In this section there are three possible Stars and three key metrics, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
1. Free Cash Flow Payout
2. Debt To Total Capital
3. Key Metrics
4. Dividend Growth Rate
5. Years of Div. Growth
6. Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15%
CTBI earned one Star in this section for 1.) above. A Star was earned since the Free Cash Flow payout ratio was less than 60% and there were no negative Free Cash Flows over the last 10 years. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1988 and has increased its dividend payments for 33 consecutive years.
Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA) or Treasury bond? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
1. NPV MMA Diff.
2. Years to > MMA
The negative NPV MMA Diff. means that on a NPV basis the dividend earnings from an investment in CTBI would be less than a similar amount invested in MMA earning a 20-year average rate of 3.41%. If CTBI grows its dividend at 1.5% per year, it will never equal a MMA yielding an estimated 20-year average rate of 3.41%.
Memberships and Peers: CTBI is, a member of the Broad Dividend Achieve
Top 5 Railroad Stocks To Own For 2014: Intellicheck Mobilisia Inc. (IDN)
Intellicheck Mobilisa, Inc. develops, integrates, and markets wireless technology and identity systems for mobile and handheld access control and security systems. The company offers identity systems products, including commercial identification products, such as IDvCheck SDK for software developers; IDvCheck point of sale, a software application that runs on various VeriFone devices; IDvCheck browser helper object for Internet explorer; ScanInn that speeds up check-in and ID verification at hotels and motels; AssureScan, an application, which assists pharmacies with ID verification and tracking drug related purchases; IDvCheck PC, a software solution; IDvCheck Mobile for hand held devices; software products for data collection devices; and instant credit application kiosk software applications. It also provides government identification products comprising Defense ID systems to read barcodes, magnetic stripes, radio frequency identification, and optical character recognit ion codes printed on current forms of identification cards; Fugitive Finder that scans driver�s licenses, and military IDs or passports; transportation worker identification credential readers; and visitor center, a component of Defense ID or Fugitive Finder systems. In addition, the company offers wireless security products and services, such as Wireless Over Water technology that allow passengers of moving vessels to access the Internet while in motion on water; Floating Area Network for the U.S. Navy; Aegeus wireless security buoy and littoral sensor grid for security monitoring of harbors and waterways; and AIRchitect, a wireless LAN design expert system. Further, it provides wireless services; and design, engineering, and integration services for commercial wireless communications systems. The company serves government, military, and commercial markets through its sales force and distributors. Intellicheck Mobilisa, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Port Townsend, Washington.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Damian Illia]
Based in California, VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) is an internet infrastructure services provider, which includes domain name registry services and infrastructure assurance services, responsible for top-level domains such as .com, .net, .tv, .edu, .gov and .name among others. The company also provides Registry services and Network Intelligence and Availability (NIA) services. Working with the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) and the U.S. Department of Commerce, the company can register exclusive domain names abiding these entities��terms. The company�� relationships with these entities has been prospering full steam: ICANN approved the renewal of the agreement with VeriSign to serve as the authoritative registry operator for the .com registry, it got exclusive registry for the .tv and .cc country code top-level domains (ccTLDs), and has additionally started providing back-end systems for all .gov, .jobs and .edu domain names, as well as internationalized domain name (IDN) services that enable web-users to access websites in their local language.
- [By James E. Brumley]
While it may be an overstatement to deem Intellicheck Mobilisa, Inc. (NYSEMKT:IDN) the most underappreciated and underestimated stock out there right now, there's no way of denying IDN is a name that most traders are missing the boat on. Consider this an impartial remedy to that wrong - Intellicheck Mobilisa looks to be on the verge of a strong bullish move, fueled by all the right reasons.
Top 5 Railroad Stocks To Own For 2014: Union Pacific Corporation(UNP)
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, provides rail transportation services in North America. It has approximately 31,953 route miles linking Pacific Coast and Gulf Coast ports with the Midwest and eastern United States gateways, and provides several corridors to Mexican gateways. The company offers freight transportation services for agricultural products, including whole grains and related commodities, food, beverage products, corn for ethanol products and its by-products, animal feeds, fruits and vegetables, frozen meat, and poultry products; and automotive products, such as imported and finished vehicles, and automotive parts and materials. It also provides transportation services for chemicals, such as industrial chemicals, plastics, and liquid petroleum products; energy products comprising coal and coke; industrial products, including lumber products, paper and consumer goods, furniture and appliances, and nonferrous and i ndustrial minerals, as well as steel and construction products, such as rock, cement, and roofing materials; and intermodal containers. Union Pacific Corporation was founded in 1862 and is based in Omaha, Nebraska.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Dan Caplinger]
On Thursday, Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP ) will release its latest quarterly results. The key to making smart investment decisions on stocks reporting earnings is to anticipate how they'll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you'll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.
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